I've updated my Season 6 checklist of predictions with information revealed in The Last Recruit:

  • The Christian Shephard who appears on the Island is a manifestation of the smoke monster and a tool of Jacob's Nemesis.
Status: True

Current Standings:

  • Unconfirmed: 18
  • Deemed Probable: 3
  • Rendered Questionable: 4
  • Confirmed True: 7
  • Confirmed False: 3


Obviously I wrote that Christian Shephard theory before I knew that Jacob's Nemesis, a.k.a. the Man in Black, a.k.a. Flocke, was the Smoke Monster. So as far as I'm concerned, being the same entity as the Smoke Monster counts as being its own "tool". Of course, this theory was already made probable back in "What Kate Does" when Claire revealed that Flocke was her "friend", and we already knew that Christian was the one who originally lured Claire in the jungle. And even long before this season started, there were plenty of other fans besides me who believed that Christian was the smoke monster, so this reveal was no big surprise to a lot of people. For me, it's just one more item to mark "confirmed true" on the checklist.

I'd been wondering for a long time what ever happened to the Elizabeth (Desmond's boat), but I honestly wasn't expecting to ever see it again! It sure looked pretty good for a boat that's been anchored there for three years!

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