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Physical Event
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- The incident is the detonation of Jughead, causing the crater on the south end of the island seen in Rousseau's maps.
- The concrete that Sayid compares to chernobyl is to stop the radiation from the scattered fragments of Jughead leaking out, thus Jughead is the cause of the incident.
- The incident was caused by DHARMA workmen who damaged the concrete pouring of the Jughead bomb that the Hostiles have buried below the Swan before this was built.
- The Jughead was buried underneath the Barracks
- The Incident was a volcanic eruption either on the island or a nearby island. The Black rocks Behind The Door seem to be igneous rocks (rocks that originated from a volcano). The volcanic rocks may have caved in on the station. Also, the eruption may have created/strengthened/moved an electromagnetic field, causing pushing the button necessary.
- The 20 meters of solid rock wall surrounding the FDW (the wall that Pierre Chang told DHARMA workers not to mess with in the Seas. 5 premier) will be blown apart by somebody (probably either Bram's people or Faraday) hoping to gain access to the FDW, releasing an catastrophic electro-magnetic charge.
Whatever Happened, Happened
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The efforts of Jack and Sayid to stop the accident at the Swan actually allows the Swan to be built. When the DI crew unleashes the energy, the explosion of the bomb reseals it. This allows the leak to be contained, and as a result it is covered in concrete, and the button protocol has time to be established. Ironically, the efforts of Jack to stop the events that caused the 815 crash actually ensure that they do happen.
The Pan-Temporal Exponential Nuke Feedback Loop Theory
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- The Nuclear Explosion, The Wheel's Power, The Time Flashes, and the Magnetic Anomaly are all part of the same Pan-Temporal Phenomenon, resulting from the The Incident.
- The nuclear detonation at the Swan Site in 1977 becomes trapped in its own seperate bubble of space/time which is somehow tethered to our universe and forms the island's source of time bending energy. In essence, the actions of Jack & friends create the totality of the island's power (both in the ancient past and in the future) which is detectable at any point in time as a series of electromagnetic anomalies, and which always manifests itself as a white flash (whenever a time shift occurs, whenever the button isn't pressed, when the nuke goes off) when accessed. The energy in this trapped perpetual nuke loop, or what have you, when summoned or chanced upon, always resembles a nuclear detonation (the white flashes, the white screen at the end of "The Incident").
- If one presumes that "What Ever Happened, Happened" and if the energies released during The Incident cause the island's electromagnetic anomalies to be present during all of the island's history, then the detonation of the nuclear warhead adds to the power of its own blast exponentially via some kind of compound feedback loop, thus breaking the law of the conservation of energy and creating enough power to destroy the world, universe, etc.
- The Swan site needs to be discharged every 108 minutes or the nuke-loop will entirely re-enter our universe, releasing all of its energy at one point in time.
- The Incident is the H bomb. But not only the H Bomb. When Jack Through the bomb down the Electromagnetic pocket. It didnt go off. So When Juliet found her self alive at the bottom. There already has been a significant amount of time. Enough time for the Electromagnetic pocket to "do something" When Juliet detonated the bomb, the electromagnetic pocket created a shield of energy causing the bomb to explode, but be contained. The force the bomb created is still there. But was not set loose. Thats why you have to push the button. To keep the Electromagnetic pocket from releasing the Atomic Explosion.